Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 429.626620 488.135666 552.979432 630.396082 720.596852 822.717571 947.570611
2026-01-11 343.240666 420.098870 512.944730 634.270185 789.953133 984.801483 1249.938115
2026-01-18 289.925221 371.913682 476.554246 621.573992 819.985982 1085.811066 1475.505612
2026-01-25 252.177922 335.822267 447.388044 609.583255 843.563542 1175.474253 1694.047444
2026-02-01 232.206750 319.694279 441.084826 625.386653 904.505919 1322.082962 2015.050566
2026-02-08 210.872900 298.579000 424.410479 622.683414 935.877301 1426.811612 2286.456822
2026-02-15 192.212149 278.966633 407.173171 616.008167 958.671935 1519.180440 2550.677750
2026-02-22 179.041464 265.960765 398.053728 620.134314 998.104684 1642.504365 2887.880798
2026-03-01 164.577529 249.454914 381.626228 610.098249 1011.749325 1722.363575 3157.963460
2026-03-08 153.220893 236.720822 369.795088 606.031396 1034.526753 1820.497498 3479.267240
2026-03-15 139.725871 219.353294 348.751108 583.690107 1021.340963 1849.389387 3664.566510
2026-03-22 135.468171 216.763178 351.982890 604.235117 1089.569147 2043.330780 4234.565359
2026-03-29 131.705261 214.872303 356.536239 628.283618 1168.954908 2274.536216 4944.297527
2026-04-05 124.861425 207.133825 350.179710 631.306250 1207.301070 2427.207011 5507.284410
2026-04-12 116.436809 195.921478 336.564196 618.781038 1211.881303 2507.080436 5908.318494
2026-04-19 108.907051 185.730022 323.941782 606.839768 1216.034463 2586.352466 6325.611576
2026-04-26 105.665055 183.059133 325.044641 622.562564 1282.077537 2819.190914 7213.320289
2026-05-03 100.391529 176.223735 317.638677 619.873203 1306.512295 2956.156869 7865.535908
2026-05-10 95.092007 168.957527 308.805726 613.232714 1320.934076 3070.499009 8480.453775
2026-05-17 91.410335 164.510546 305.147179 617.337395 1361.175438 3257.696936 9372.037327
2026-05-24 86.509672 157.368774 295.539667 607.353496 1365.957522 3351.731596 9988.387488
2026-05-31 82.576239 151.869247 288.861987 603.307745 1385.012696 3488.168521 10788.268446
2026-06-07 77.162119 143.094160 274.812192 581.081985 1355.141824 3482.161685 11085.234903